Texas Tech
(7-1)
VS
BYU
(6-1)
2025 Big 12 Championship Game
Out of all remaining scenarios, these teams are most likely to play in the championship game

Texas Tech
#1
7-1
10-1
VS
December 7, 2024
AT&T Stadium
Arlington, TX

BYU
#2
6-1
9-1
The championship is played between the teams with the two best records
In case of a tie, there is a
Tiebreakers Applied
Houston is ranked #3 over Cincinnati, Arizona State, and Utah via group tiebreaker step 3/7 (win percentage of next highest ranked team)
Utah is ranked #4 over Cincinnati and Arizona State via group tiebreaker step 1/7 (head-to-head)
Arizona State is ranked #5 over Cincinnati via tiebreaker step 2/7 (record vs. common opponents)
Championship Game Chances
15 games remaining with 32,768 possible outcomes
7 possible championship matchups
Percentages are based on the number of outcomes that include a team reaching the championship game
vs.
BYU
(549)54.900%
vs.
Cincinnati
(129)12.900%
vs.
Arizona State
(124)12.400%
vs.
Houston
(67)6.700%
vs.
Utah
(64)6.400%
vs.
Texas Tech
(549)54.900%
vs.
Arizona State
(64)6.400%
vs.
Cincinnati
(3)0.300%
vs.
Texas Tech
(124)12.400%
vs.
BYU
(64)6.400%
vs.
Texas Tech
(129)12.900%
vs.
BYU
(3)0.300%
vs.
Texas Tech
(67)6.700%
vs.
Texas Tech
(64)6.400%
Win Out Situations
Click a team to mark them as winning all of their remaining games
Weekly Schedule
| Team | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Tech SOS: 48.8% | W 42-0 vs Oklahoma St Oct 25 | W 20-43 @ Kansas St Nov 1 | W 29-7 vs BYU Nov 8 | W 48-9 vs UCF Nov 15 | BYE | @ West Virginia Nov 29 | #1 7-1 10-1 |
BYU SOS: 47.4% | W 27-41 @ Iowa St Oct 25 | BYE | L 29-7 @ Texas Tech Nov 8 | W 44-13 vs TCU Nov 15 | @ Cincinnati Nov 22 | vs UCF Nov 29 | #2 6-1 9-1 |
Houston SOS: 39.5% | W 16-24 @ Arizona St Oct 25 | L 35-45 vs West Virginia Nov 1 | W 27-30 @ UCF Nov 7 | BYE | vs TCU Nov 22 | @ Baylor Nov 29 | #3 5-2 8-2 |
Utah SOS: 55.4% | W 53-7 vs Colorado Oct 25 | W 45-14 vs Cincinnati Nov 1 | BYE | W 28-55 @ Baylor Nov 15 | vs Kansas St Nov 22 | @ Kansas Nov 28 | #4 5-2 8-2 |
Arizona State SOS: 50.6% | L 16-24 vs Houston Oct 25 | W 19-24 @ Iowa St Nov 1 | BYE | W 25-23 vs West Virginia Nov 15 | @ Colorado Nov 22 | vs Arizona Nov 28 | #5 5-2 7-3 |
Cincinnati SOS: 44.4% | W 41-20 vs Baylor Oct 25 | L 45-14 @ Utah Nov 1 | BYE | L 24-30 vs Arizona Nov 15 | vs BYU Nov 22 | @ TCU Nov 29 | #6 5-2 7-3 |
Arizona SOS: 49.2% | BYE | W 17-52 @ Colorado Nov 1 | W 24-20 vs Kansas Nov 8 | W 24-30 @ Cincinnati Nov 15 | vs Baylor Nov 22 | @ Arizona St Nov 28 | #7 4-3 7-3 |
Kansas State SOS: 39.9% | W 17-42 @ Kansas Oct 25 | L 20-43 vs Texas Tech Nov 1 | BYE | W 6-14 @ Oklahoma St Nov 15 | @ Utah Nov 22 | vs Colorado Nov 29 | #8 4-3 5-5 |
TCU SOS: 53.6% | W 17-23 @ West Virginia Oct 25 | BYE | L 17-20 vs Iowa St Nov 8 | L 44-13 @ BYU Nov 15 | @ Houston Nov 22 | vs Cincinnati Nov 29 | #9 3-4 6-4 |
Iowa State SOS: 49.2% | L 27-41 vs BYU Oct 25 | L 19-24 vs Arizona St Nov 1 | W 17-20 @ TCU Nov 8 | BYE | vs Kansas Nov 22 | @ Oklahoma St Nov 29 | #10 3-4 6-4 |
Baylor SOS: 50.8% | L 41-20 @ Cincinnati Oct 25 | W 30-3 vs UCF Nov 1 | BYE | L 28-55 vs Utah Nov 15 | @ Arizona Nov 22 | vs Houston Nov 29 | #11 3-4 5-5 |
Kansas SOS: 47.4% | L 17-42 vs Kansas St Oct 25 | W 38-21 vs Oklahoma St Nov 1 | L 24-20 @ Arizona Nov 8 | BYE | @ Iowa St Nov 22 | vs Utah Nov 28 | #12 3-4 5-5 |
West Virginia SOS: 55.8% | L 17-23 vs TCU Oct 25 | W 35-45 @ Houston Nov 1 | W 29-22 vs Colorado Nov 8 | L 25-23 @ Arizona St Nov 15 | BYE | vs Texas Tech Nov 29 | #13 2-6 4-7 |
UCF SOS: 53.8% | BYE | L 30-3 @ Baylor Nov 1 | L 27-30 vs Houston Nov 7 | L 48-9 @ Texas Tech Nov 15 | vs Oklahoma St Nov 22 | @ BYU Nov 29 | #14 1-6 4-6 |
Colorado SOS: 58.3% | L 53-7 @ Utah Oct 25 | L 17-52 vs Arizona Nov 1 | L 29-22 @ West Virginia Nov 8 | BYE | vs Arizona St Nov 22 | @ Kansas St Nov 29 | #15 1-6 3-7 |
Oklahoma State SOS: 54.2% | L 42-0 @ Texas Tech Oct 25 | L 38-21 @ Kansas Nov 1 | BYE | L 6-14 vs Kansas St Nov 15 | @ UCF Nov 22 | vs Iowa St Nov 29 | #16 0-7 1-9 |